8
Moonovercloon
9yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 113
Gowran Park · Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m 40y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C12.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA125 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA126 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA114 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Punchestown | BHA119 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Listowel | BHA121 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Bellewstown | BHA123 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 01/08/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.05 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 20/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 81% | +0.44 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 15/06/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 18% | -0.63 |