7
Zoffman
7yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 116
Gowran Park · Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m 40y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA75 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA74 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA77 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA118 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |