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5

Killaney King

8yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 119

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase · 3m

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner but still looking for a breakthrough Rules success. However, good second in handicap chase at Fairyhouse in April and, making first run since leaving Henry de Bromhead, was left with too much to do when sixth of 15 in Connacht National at Roscommon in June. Respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C12.1
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 29/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 116 · 2m3f Yie 168 · below its mark29/12/2024 · OR 116 par29/12C8OR 116BHA117 @ Gowran Park 15/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 117 · 2m3f180y Sft 163 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ Kilbeggan 25/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m6f120y Yie 16625/04C?BHA121 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 121 · 2m50y Sft 161 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 121 parBHA121 @ Navan 14/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR 121 · 2m4f Sft 167 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 121 par14/12121OR 121BHA122 @ Navan 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 122 · 2m4f40y Sft 157 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 122 parC0 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m5f120y Yie 1663/03C?BHA119 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 119 · 3m120y Yie 152 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 119 parBHA120 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 120 · 3m1f24y Sft 146 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 120 par8/06120OR 120projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA1206th11th−5
2026-04-06FairyhouseBHA1192nd7th−4
2026-03-03Leopardstown?3rd3rd0
2026-01-17NavanBHA1228th14th−5
2025-12-14NavanBHA1213rd9th−5
2025-11-17NavanBHA1215th11th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1217/113/038/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength80%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20242nd4/179%86%+0.07
15/02/20252nd5/174%95%+0.21
25/04/20252nd9/276%92%+0.15
17/11/20255th11/271%60%-0.11
14/12/20253rd11/271%89%+0.18
17/01/20268th8/158%42%-0.16
03/03/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
06/04/20262nd14/126%94%+0.67
08/06/20266th9/276%64%-0.12