2

Ma Jacks Hill

6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 124

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase · 3m

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made his second chase start a winning one in 2½m novice at Punchestown in June. After a couple of below par efforts, fared better when second of 5 in novice at Wexford (19f) 5 weeks ago, though was again reluctant at the start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m4f156y Goo 16426/10C81 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m50y Sft 155 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Leopardstown 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 122 · 2m4f103y Goo 163 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 122 par29/12C8OR 122BHA122 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 122 · 2m5f100y Sft 168 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 122 parC0 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m3f176y Goo 16621/05C?C8 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m4f55y Goo 154BHA126 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 126 · 2m3f110y Gd 152 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 126 par3/07126OR 126BHA124 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 124 · 2m4f40y Goo 160 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 124 parC8 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 123 · 2m3f100y Yie 163 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 123 par28/08C8OR 123projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08KilbegganBHA1245th11th−5
2026-07-03WexfordBHA1268th14th−5
2026-06-07Punchestown?1st1st0
2026-05-21Limerick?3rd3rd0
2026-04-16LimerickBHA1225th11th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1016/043/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20252nd11/486%80%-0.06
17/11/20256th5/174%17%-0.57
29/12/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
16/04/20265th11/486%43%-0.43
21/05/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
07/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
03/07/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
08/08/20265th13/266%43%-0.23
28/08/20262nd11/142%75%+0.33