6

No Time To Wait

8yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 121

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase · 3m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden over fences and is prone to mistakes. Made the frame in novice at Fairyhouse (3¼m) in February, despite making errors, but pulled up in handicaps at Cheltenham and Punchestown since. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 4 higher-class runs.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 4

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 10/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 24 · OR - · 2m185y Sft 16610/12C8C0 @ Limerick 27/12/2023 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 161C0 @ Down Royal 01/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m3f192y Goo 1661/11C?3 @ Musselburgh 01/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 132 · 2m7f138y GS 168 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 132 par2 @ Cheltenham 11/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 133 · 3m5f201y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/03/2025 · OR 133 par11/032OR 133C8 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 129 · 3m186y Goo 158 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 129 parBHA130 @ Kilbeggan 11/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 130 · 3m1f80y Gd 166 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 130 par11/07130OR 1301 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 28 · OR 129 · 3m100y Yie 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 129 parC8 @ Fairyhouse 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 128 · 3m2f Hvy 166 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 128 par21/02C8OR 128projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02Punchestown1+7
2026-03-12Cheltenham2+6
2026-02-21Fairyhouse?4th4th0
2025-12-27Leopardstown113th5th+7
2025-11-16Navan1+7
2025-07-11KilbegganBHA1302nd9th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/121/0211/0721/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20231st3/184%100%+0.16
27/12/20234th11/893%0%-0.93
01/11/20244th33/10%40%+0.40
01/02/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
11/03/20259th33/10%53%+0.53
08/06/20252nd13/266%75%+0.09
11/07/20252nd13/891%67%-0.25
27/12/202513th50/10%56%+0.56
21/02/20264th10/147%57%+0.10