3

Quantum Quest

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase · 3m

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful staying hurdler, successful twice last season when also runner-up in Grade 3 novice at Cork. After 2 months off, made a winning chasing debut at Punchestown in June, though had things go his way. Could be in the mix with cheekpieces soon back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength83%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 16/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 15816/01C8C8 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Yie 166C8 @ Downpatrick 30/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 116 · 2m5f185y Goo 158 · below its mark30/03/2025 · OR 116 par30/03C8OR 116C8 @ Kilbeggan 22/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 114 · 3m1f Goo 158 · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 114 parBHA114 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 114 · 3m25y Goo 160 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 114 par29/09114OR 1142 @ Cheltenham 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 127 · 2m7f208y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 127 par1 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 123 · 3m80y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 123 par7/121OR 1231 @ Aintree 11/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 129 · 3m149y Goo 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 129 parC0 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 3m157y Goo 1666/06C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Punchestown?1st1st0
2026-04-11Aintree110th2nd+7
2025-12-07Cork12nd-6th+7
2025-10-25Cheltenham25th-2th+6
2025-09-29RoscommonBHA1141st6th−4
2025-08-22Kilbeggan?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0122/087/126/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20254th11/486%63%-0.23
03/03/20256th11/142%55%+0.12
30/03/20252nd9/276%90%+0.14
22/08/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
29/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
25/10/20255th11/142%75%+0.33
07/12/20252nd7/163%75%+0.12
11/04/202610th18/15%57%+0.52
06/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13