3
Champagne Jury
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Gowran Park · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase · 2m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Punchestown | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 30/04/2025 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |