4
Daydream Nation
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Gowran Park · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase · 2m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | BHA118 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Newbury | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 30/04/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 39% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |