6
Good Option
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Gowran Park · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase · 2m 4f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Punchestown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Naas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 26/12/2025 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 83% | +0.00 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |