10
Mullaghgloss
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Gowran Park · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase · 2m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Cheltenham | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 58/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 25/09/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 59% | -0.25 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |