11
Siege Of Carthage
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Gowran Park · SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 65/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |