6

Banjaxed
9yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 114
Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | BHA120 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | BHA113 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Galway | BHA122 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA122 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Navan | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 02/11/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/12/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 22/03/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 16/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 61% | +0.35 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |