3
Drumgill
7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 118
Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Listowel | BHA120 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | BHA122 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | BHA123 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA125 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA128 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 26/09/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |