2
Idy Wood
8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 125
Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA127 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Haydock | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 1 | 22th | 22th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Windsor | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kempton | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chepstow | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 28/01/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 20/03/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 12/03/2026 | 22nd | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |