5

Jupiter Du Gite
7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 115
Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA116 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA113 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA110 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA112 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Navan | BHA113 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | BHA115 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 06/12/2024 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 11/01/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |