5

Jupiter Du Gite

7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 115

Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Headstrong sort but settling better of late and has come close to snapping a lengthy losing run twice in handicap hurdles at Killarney this summer. Wasn't suited by the way the race developed last time and reverts to chasing for first time in nearly 3 years from potentially lenient mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Fontwell 04/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 126 · 2m3f104y GS 168 · below its mark04/10/2024 · OR 126 par4/103OR 1263 @ Sandown 06/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 127 · 3m37y Sft 165 · below its mark06/12/2024 · OR 127 parBHA116 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 116 · 2m180y Sft 162 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 116 par1/01116OR 116BHA115 @ Punchestown 11/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 115 · 2m4f170y Sft 161 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 115 parBHA113 @ Navan 08/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 113 · 2m5f180y Hvy 169 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 113 par8/02113OR 113BHA112 @ Thurles 05/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 112 · 2m6f198y Sft 168 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 112 parBHA110 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 110 · 2m4f85y Goo 162 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 110 par16/07110OR 110BHA113 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 113 · 2m6f80y Goo 147 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 113 parBHA116 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 116 · 2m5f208y Goo 162 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 116 par11/09116OR 116projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1169th9th0
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA1132nd2nd0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1102nd2nd0
2026-03-05ThurlesBHA1126th6th0
2026-02-08NavanBHA1134th4th0
2026-01-11PunchestownBHA11511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1011/0116/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20242nd10/382%67%-0.16
06/12/20243rd17/255%60%+0.05
01/01/20263rd17/255%78%+0.23
11/01/202611th10/147%29%-0.19
08/02/20264th13/266%70%+0.04
05/03/20266th9/276%58%-0.18
16/07/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
22/08/20262nd11/486%92%+0.07
11/09/20269th10/382%38%-0.44