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4

Killeemore Lad

8yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 118

Gowran Park · Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Chase · 2m 4f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful Flat/hurdle winner who confirmed recent promise over fences when landing 7-runner maiden at Downpatrick in August by 2½ lengths from Jabbar. Looks to have been handed a fair mark on handicap chase debut and is very much one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 04/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 113 · 2m Sft 154 · below its mark04/04/2024 · OR 113 par4/04C8OR 113C8 @ Tipperary 23/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 111 · 2m Yie 158 · below its mark23/04/2024 · OR 111 parBHA113 @ Punchestown 02/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR 113 · 2m94y Yie 158 · below its mark02/05/2024 · OR 113 par2/05113OR 113BHA67 @ Listowel 02/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 67 · 2m40y Gd 132 · beat its mark02/06/2024 · OR 67 parBHA69 @ Limerick 12/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 69 · 2m1f GF 141 · beat its mark12/06/2024 · OR 69 par12/0669OR 69BHA78 @ Limerick 07/07/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 78 · 2m1f Gd 142 · below its mark07/07/2024 · OR 78 parC0 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m142y Sft 1664/08C?C8 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f120y Gd 159BHA116 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 116 · 2m3f100y Gd 166 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 116 par31/08116OR 116projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31DownpatrickBHA1161st1st0
2026-08-13Tramore?2nd2nd0
2026-08-04Roscommon?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Wexford?0
2024-07-07LimerickBHA788th8th0
2024-06-12LimerickBHA691st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/042/064/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/20248th66/10%22%+0.22
23/04/20242nd10/147%88%+0.40
02/05/20242nd50/10%96%+0.96
02/06/20242nd9/276%92%+0.15
12/06/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
07/07/20248th11/486%36%-0.49
04/08/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
13/08/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
31/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18