1
Cryptonym
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |