8
Sherman Fury
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 8 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |