3
Trackster
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |