7
Virginia City
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 83
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |