7
Del Rosario
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/01/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 14/02/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |