Junegenai
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 74
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |