3
Mamuka
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · tight 85/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |