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4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 38% | -0.56 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |