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4

Ton A Laughs

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 76

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 80 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/06/2025 · OR 80 par16/06C6OR 80C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 77 parC9 @ Turfway Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m 122 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 74 par10/01C9OR 74C9 @ Turfway Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 77 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 77 parC9 @ Gulfstream 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m70y 126 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 73 par10/05C9OR 73C8 @ Gulfstream 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fas 126 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Gulfstream 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m70y 126 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 73 par20/06C8OR 73C8 @ Gulfstream 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Gulfstream 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m 125 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 74 par6/09C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-06-20Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-05-30Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-03-21Turfway Park?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0621/0320/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20254th6/168%0%-0.68
03/09/20255th10/147%64%+0.16
10/01/20264th11/271%73%+0.02
21/03/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
10/05/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
30/05/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07
20/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
26/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
06/09/20262nd13/891%83%-0.08