8
D Rembrandt
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 64
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |