1
Zenick
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 1/4 | 99% | 75% | -0.24 |