8
Camigol
3yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength73%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |