6
Guildenstern
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 15/11/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 17/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |