Noble Sky
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |