Our Souper Hero
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 95
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/04/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |