1

Power From Above

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 73

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 75 par15/03C6OR 75C9 @ Gulfstream 25/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark25/04/2025 · OR 72 parC9 @ Gulfstream 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 73 par13/12C9OR 73C8 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Gulfstream 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 75 par31/01C8OR 75C7 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m 123 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 81 par14/03C8OR 81C8 @ Gulfstream 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Gd 122 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Gulfstream 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2026 · OR 73 par20/09C7OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-04-11Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-03-14Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-02-27Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-01-31Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-01-10Gulfstream?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0310/0114/0320/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength31%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20256th25/10%0%0.00
25/04/20257th20/10%25%+0.25
13/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
10/01/20262nd9/276%75%-0.01
31/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
27/02/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
14/03/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
11/04/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
20/09/20264th25/10%40%+0.40