City Minute
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |