8

Precious Medley

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 88

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turfway Park 14/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark14/02/2025 · OR 65 par14/02C6OR 65C9 @ Turfway Park 08/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 71 parC5 @ Keeneland 12/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2025 · OR 85 par12/04C5OR 85C5 @ Churchill Downs 18/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 86 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 86 par23/06C5OR 86C7 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 87 par1/06C5OR 87C5 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 87 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 86 par26/07C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Colonial Downs?6th5th+1
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2025-07-16Colonial Downs?3rd4th−1
2025-06-23Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2025-05-18Churchill Downs?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0218/051/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20254th14/126%70%+0.44
08/03/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
12/04/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
18/05/20257th40/10%40%+0.40
23/06/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
16/07/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
01/06/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
05/07/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
26/07/20266th4/179%44%-0.35