9
Sparkling Star
7yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 02/11/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/04/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |