4
Starship Melody
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |