5
Sir Angelus
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 5
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -38.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |