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7

Stick Talk

2yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 7

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Handicap · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 4f110y 1206/06C6C6 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/07C6OR 77C6 @ Gulfstream 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 82 par9/08C6OR 82C5 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 83 par5/09C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-08-09Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-07-11Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Gulfstream?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0611/079/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 61/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -16.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
11/07/20262nd11/1094%83%-0.11
09/08/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
05/09/20264th11/271%25%-0.46