5
I Know I Know
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 5
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 05/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |