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7

Jayhawk

5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 7

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 103 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 103 par21/11C6OR 103C0 @ Gulfstream 27/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 120C7 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 91 par10/01C7OR 91C8 @ Gulfstream 01/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 101 · 1m110y Slo 123 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 101 par15/03C8OR 101C8 @ Gulfstream 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 100 parC8 @ Gulfstream 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 102 par30/04C8OR 102C8 @ Gulfstream 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 101 parC7 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 103 par31/08C7OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-04-30Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-04-16Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-03-15Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-03-01Gulfstream?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/111/0330/0431/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength3%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
27/12/20257th12/137%14%-0.23
10/01/20267th8/158%14%-0.44
01/03/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
15/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
16/04/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
30/04/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
20/07/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02
31/08/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28