9
Neat
5yo Horse · 8-8 · Draw 9
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |