2
Prevent
5yo Horse · 8-6 · Draw 2
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |