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8

Steal Sunshine

7yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 8

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Gulfstream 16/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 12216/11C?C1 @ Gulfstream 20/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m1f Fm 121 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 108 parC1 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 110 par24/01C1OR 110C1 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 107 · 1m Fas 121 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 107 parC1 @ Gulfstream 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 105 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 105 par28/03C1OR 105C6 @ Gulfstream 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fas 126 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 96 parC0 @ Gulfstream 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m Fas 1233/07C?C0 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m Gd 122C0 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 1215/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-08-01Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-05-31Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-03-28Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-02-28Gulfstream?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1128/023/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
20/12/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
24/01/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
28/02/20262nd14/126%75%+0.49
28/03/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
31/05/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
03/07/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
01/08/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
05/09/20264th6/168%40%-0.28