1
Win For The Money
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |