6
Dune Road
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |