Las Olas
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |