7
Millennium Condo
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 29/06/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/07/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 10/08/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 08/09/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/09/2024 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/03/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/03/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/04/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |