2

Commentate

3yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 81

Keeneland · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f 11926/10C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-26Churchill Downs?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20258th14/126%36%+0.10