3
Summit Ridge
4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 29/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +18.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 17/05/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |