2
Brilliant Berti
5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 116
Keeneland · Race 10 - Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | BHA118 | 1st | 15th | −12 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |